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Navigating the Growth of Private Markets: Balancing Opportunities and Systemic Risks


This article draws insights from Hadouken’s Founder and Principal Consultant Stacey Varsani’s in-depth analysis on the challenges and opportunities within private markets. Her observations highlight the rapid growth of private markets and the systemic risks they pose, offering a critical perspective on how the financial ecosystem can navigate this evolving landscape. 


The private markets sector has witnessed exponential growth in recent years, with assets under management reaching an impressive $13.1 trillion by mid-2023, according to McKinsey. While still dwarfed by public markets, private credit’s rapid expansion into diverse asset classes and borrowers has raised crucial questions about transparency, accountability, and systemic risk. 


The Rising Prominence of Private Markets 

Private markets are increasingly financing critical sectors, including infrastructure projects, asset-based loans such as aircraft financing, jumbo residential mortgages, and high-risk commercial real estate. These sectors play a pivotal role in economic development by addressing essential needs such as housing, transportation, and commercial expansion. Their attractiveness to private markets lies in their potential for high returns, the opportunity to engage in projects with long-term growth potential, and a low correlation to other asset classes. However, the very features that make private markets appealing, such as less regulation and greater flexibility, also introduce vulnerabilities. 


As Varsani observes, “The rapid expansion of private credit, combined with increasing competition from banks on large deals, may lead to declining underwriting standards and heightened risks of credit losses.” This warning echoes concerns raised by institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF), emphasizing the need for a robust risk management approach. 


A History of Regulation 

Historically, regulatory responses to opaque financial markets have followed periods of crisis. In the U.S., the early 1930s brought federal securities laws, and the 1960s saw the introduction of Section 12(g) of the Exchange Act to address the growth of over-the-counter (OTC) markets. More recently, the 2008 financial crisis spurred regulations like Dodd-Frank, which primarily targeted traditional banks and inadvertently propelled the growth of lightly regulated non-bank financial institutions. 


Across the Atlantic, the European Union has implemented more comprehensive frameworks, such as the Alternative Investment Fund Managers Directive (AIFMD) and the Markets in Financial Instruments Directive II (MiFID II), which promote transparency and investor protection. These frameworks have significantly influenced the growth of private markets by establishing higher standards of accountability and investor confidence. For instance, AIFMD has streamlined fund operations by setting clear reporting requirements and risk management mandates, while MiFID II has enhanced market integrity through stricter transparency obligations. Together, they have not only mitigated risks associated with opaque financial practices but also attracted more investors seeking regulated and sustainable investment opportunities. Additionally, ESG-focused directives, including the Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive, have positioned the EU as a leader in sustainable investment practices. Despite these efforts, discrepancies in regulatory standards between regions persist, with U.S. firms often operating under less stringent oversight. 


Mitigating Systemic Risks 

To address the risks associated with private market expansion, industry stakeholders must adopt proactive measures that prioritize sustainability, accountability, and long-term value creation. However, challenges persist, including fragmented regulatory standards across regions, the complexity of implementing ESG frameworks, and resistance to change from traditional industry practices. Additionally, the costs associated with establishing transparent reporting and robust risk management systems can deter smaller firms, while navigating compliance with evolving regulations often requires significant resource allocation. Varsani advocates for a multifaceted approach, noting, “It’s essential to not only implement best practices but also sustain them over time.” 


Key recommendations for fostering a resilient financial ecosystem include practical insights drawn from successful implementations across the industry. For example, leading private equity firms such as Blackstone have embraced ESG integration by adopting Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) frameworks, which have enabled them to enhance investor trust and align with global sustainability goals. Similarly, Partners Group has prioritized transparency by introducing standardized reporting practices that improve comparability and provide detailed insights into financial performance and risk management strategies. These examples underscore the tangible benefits of adopting proactive measures and highlight pathways for other stakeholders to follow.  


Actions that firms can take include:  

  • Adopting International Standards: Utilizing frameworks such as ISO 9001 for quality management and ISO 31000 for risk management can enhance operational efficiency and mitigate risks. 

  • Integrating ESG Principles: Implementing standards from the Global Reporting Initiative (GRI) or the Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB) ensures a comprehensive evaluation of investments, incorporating environmental, social, and governance criteria. 

  • Enhancing Transparency: Establishing regular reporting practices with standardized metrics such as IRR (Internal Rate of Return) and MOIC (Multiple on Invested Capital) can facilitate comparability and foster trust among stakeholders. 

  • Strengthening Risk Management: Tools for identifying, measuring, and mitigating risks, coupled with stress testing and scenario planning, can prepare firms for potential downturns. 

  • Complying with Regulations: Developing robust compliance programs and conducting regular training sessions can ensure adherence to evolving regulatory landscapes. 

  • Collaborating Within the Industry: Participation in initiatives like the Principles for Responsible Investment and engagement in industry forums can drive the adoption of best practices. 


A Call for Long-Term Vision 

The rapid evolution of private markets offers unprecedented opportunities for investors, including fostering innovation in emerging sectors and funding transformative projects such as renewable energy initiatives and next-generation infrastructure. These opportunities not only promise significant returns but also contribute to economic development and societal progress. However, this growth underscores the imperative for vigilance and foresight to navigate the associated risks effectively. “By adhering to established regulations and embracing best practices, industry players can mitigate risks, maximize investment value, and ultimately foster a more resilient financial ecosystem,” Varsani asserts. 


As private markets attract an increasing number of retail investors and expand their influence, adopting a sustainable and transparent approach will be essential in safeguarding the financial system’s stability and unlocking the sector’s full potential. 


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